TABLE OF CONTENTS PAGE
Title page………………………………………………………………………………………………………. i
Certification……………………………………………………………………………………………………. ii
Dedication……………………………………………………………………………………………………….. iii
Acknowledgement…………………………………………………………………………………………….. iv
Table of contents………………………………………………………………………………………………… v
List of tables……………………………………………………………………………………………………… viii
Abstract…………………………………………………………………………………………………………… ix
CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION
Background information ……….. …………………………………………………. 1
1.1.1Historical development of banking system in Nigeria ……….. 4
1.2 Statement of the problems……………………………………………………………. 7
1.3 Objectives of the study……………………………………………………………….. 7
1.4 Research questions………………………………………………………………. 8
1.5 Research hypotheses……………………………………………………………………. 8
1.6 Significance of the study………………………………………………………… 9
1.7 Scope and limitations…………………………………………………………… 10
1.8 Organisation of the study ………………………………………………………… 10
1.9 Definition of terms…………………………………………………………………. 11
CHAPTER TWO: LITERATURE REVIEW
2.0 Introduction………………………………………………………………………………. 14
2.1 Empirical framework………………………………………………………………….. 14
2.2 Conceptual framework…. …………………………………………………………….. . 24
2.2.1 Interpretation of financial statements………………………………. .. 24
2.2.2 Tools of analysis and interpretation of financial statements… .. 24
2.2.3 Ratio analysis…………………………………………………………. .. 24
2.2.4 Importance of ratio analysis………………………………………….. .. 25
2.2.4.1 Determinant of strengths and weakness……………. … 25
2.2.4.2 Level of efficiency………………………………………… … 25
2.2.4.3 Forecasting…………………………………………………. 25
2.2.4.4 Analysing financial statements…………………………… . 25
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2.2.4.5 Business performance ………………………………………. 25
2.2.5 Functional classification of ratio analysis………………………….. 26
2.2.5.1 Profitability ratios………………………………………… 26
2.2.5.2 Liquidity ratios…………………………………………………. 27
2.2.5.3 Leverage ratios………………………………………………. 28
2.2.5.4 Efficiency ratios………………………………………….. 29
2.2.5.5 Growth ratio………………………………………………. 31
2.2.6 Comparative analysis of financial statements ……………….. 32
2.2.7 Limitations of financial ratio……………………………………… 34
2.2.8 Business decisions in relation to financial ratios…………….. 35
2.2.9 Types of business decisions………………………………………… 36
2.2.9.1 Investing decision…………………………………………….. 36
2.2.9.2 Financing decision……………………………………….. 37
2.2.9.3 Dividend policy…………………………………………….. 37
CHAPTER THREE: METHODOLOGY
3.0 Introduction……………………………………………………………………………….. 39
3.1 Research design………………………………………………………………….. `39
3.2 Research population and sampling procedure…………………………………. 40
3.3 Research instrument………………………………………………………………. 40
3.4 Validity and reliability of instrument……………………………………………… 40
3.5 Data collection technique ……………………………………………………….. 41
3.6 Data analysis technique……………………………………………………………. 41
3.7 Measurement of variables …………………………………………………………. 42
3.7.1 CAMEL variables………………………………………………………… 42
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CHAPTER FOUR: DATA ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATIONS
4.0 Introduction………………………………………………………………………… 46
4.1 Analysis for data collected and interpretation……………………………… 46
4.1.1 Listed bank……………………………………………………………………. 46
4.1.2 Descriptive statistical table…………………………………………… . 47
4.1.3 Correlation table…………………………………………………………….. 47
4.1.4 Model summary table……………………………………………………… 48
4.1.5 ANOVA table………………………………………………………………… 49
4.2 Graphical interpretation of selected banks……………………………………… 50
CHAPTER FIVE: SUMMARY, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION
5.1 Summary of findings……………………………………………………………………. 55
5.2 Conclusion………………………………………………………………………………. 56
5.3 Recommendation ……………………………………………………………………. 56
5.4 contributions to knowledge and suggestions for further studies ………… 56
Reference………………………………………………………………………………………. 57
Appendix………………………………………………………………………………………. 59
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LIST OF TABLES PAGE
1. List of banks……………………………………………………………………………. 46
2. Descriptive statistics………………………………………………………… 47
3. Correlation…………………………………………………………………….. 47
4. Model summary………………………………………………………………. 48
5. Anova ………………………………………………………………………….. 49
6. Graphical interpretation…………………………………………………….. 50
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ABSRACT
This study seeks to determine the role of financial ratios on business decisions of money deposit banks listed on the Nigeria Stock Exchange (NSE) from 2005-2013. There were three ratios used which were selected based on CAMEL ratio. Capital adequacy ratio was the dependent variable. The explanatory variables are liquidity ratio and profitability ratio. Liquidity ratio includes; cash & cash equivalent/ Total Liabilities, Loan and Advances/Total Assets, Loan and Advances/ Total Deposits while profitability ratio includes; Return on Assets, Return on Equity and Net interest income / Loan and Advances. Descriptive methodology, correlation and regression analysis were applied to data obtained from the financial statement of the banks using the Statistical Package for Social Student (SPSS). The result showed a weak and negative relationship among when ratios are considered in isolation but a strong relationship was exhibited when all the ratios were analysed in aggregate. The studies thus conclude that financial ratios can be useful for business decision making when other intervening factors are incorporated.
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CHAPTER ONE
INTRODUCTION
1.1 BACKGROUND INFORMATION
Accounting is a systematic process of identifying, recording, measuring, classifying, verifying, summarizing, interpreting and communicating of financial information in order to enhanced informed judgement and economic decision by users of the account. This can be making possible when the financial information is made available to the users. American Accounting Association (AAA) defined accounting as “the process of identifying, measuring and communicating economic information to permit informed judgments and decisions by the user of information”. Financial information can be derived from the financial statement. The standard practice for businesses is for them to present their financial statements which adhere to regulatory framework and conceptual framework established in order to ensure uniformity of information and presentation across international borders. The financial statements comprise collection of reports about an organisation’s financial result and condition which is presented in a clear and concise manner as it contains useful financial information that is hidden in figures. Its major components are; Statement of Financial Position, Statement of Cash Flow, Statement of in Equity, Statement of Profit or Loss and Other Comprehensive Income and Notes to the Accounts.
Financial ratios are applied on items reported in the financial statements with the intention to derive the effective economic decision for the following reasons:
Determining the ability of a business to generate cash, and the source and uses of the cash;
Ascertaining whether a business has the capability to payback its debt;
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Evaluating the financial results on a trend line in order to spot any looming profitability issues;
Adopting financial ratio that can indicate the condition of a business; and
Investigating the details of certain business transactions, as outlined in the disclosures that accompany the statement;
The quantitative analysis of financial statement prepared and presented by an entity to drive useful information can be bewildering and intimidating to many users. Business decisions making requires timely and relevant financial information as observed by Bittle,Burke&Lafarge (1984).Bittle et al further noted that “managers want information because they need to make decisions. Proper use of information is thus arguably an information part of decision making and financial ratio is one of the key elements in the fundamental analysis since standard ratio can be employed to evaluate the overall financial condition of a corporation or other organisation. The financial analysis as a tool for accounting helps us to determine an entity’s strength and weakness using ratios from the financial data. Such analysis can be a comparison of the company’s own historical performance or that of other companies focusing on the Income Statement, Statement of Financial Position, and Statement of Cash flow statement. One key area of financial analysis involves extrapolating the company’s past performance into estimate of the company’s future performance.
Ratios are highly important profit tools in financial analysis which helps financial analysts in implementing plans that improves company’s profitability, liquidity, financial structure, reordering, leverage, and interest coverage. Igben (1999) noted that financial ratio is a proportion or fraction or percentage expressing the relationship between one item in a set of financial statements and another item in the financial statements. Muresan&Wolitzer (2004)
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posit that financial ratio analysis is a useful measure to provide a snapshot of a firm’s financial position at any particular moment of time or to provide a comprehensive idea about the financial performance of the company over a given period of time. It can thus be argued that any successful business owner need to constantly evaluate the performance of his or her company, comparing it with the company’s historical figures, with its industry competitors, and even with successful businesses from other industries. Although in analysing and interpreting financial statement the use of financial reporting is the main aspect in decision making. According to Gibson (1989), financial reporting is not an end in its self but it is intended to provide information that is useful in making business and economic decision. Aborode (2006) posited that financial statement need to be interpreted for better understanding and analysis by using individual items contained in financial statement and/or ratios computed from items contained in financial statement. In addition, ratio analysis involves taking items from the financial statement and forming ratio with them, to enhance informed business decision and judgement. A business is described as an economic system where goods and services are exchanged for money, a business could be privately or state owned which requires some form of investments and enough customers to whom its output can be sold on a consistent basis in order to make profit. Business decision is a logical process of selecting from choice of available options for profit, since the primary objective of a business is profit maximisation. Decision making is an act of choosing between two or more course of actions. MCShane&Glinow (2000) defined decision-making as “a conscious process of making choices among one or more alternatives with the intention of moving toward some desired state of affairs. Business decision making is thus a necessary criterion for sustainability and profitability of any business concern. Financial ratios are considered as a major tool for business decisions which will assist both internal and external users of
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financial statements to give informed judgement about the past, present and future potentials of the company.
This study is focused on money deposit banks listed on the floor of Nigerian Stock Exchange and how decisions are taken by their various diversified interest. Banking sector is referred to as the financial sector that continually takes important roles in the effort to achieve socio- economic development. It is believed that, financial sector could be a catalyst of economic growth if it is adequately supervised, controlled and monitored. The money deposit banks serve as important financial intermediaries to the public in any economy, as they represents a nation’s financial regulator which needs to be supervised because it determines the scope and economic development of a country. Hence, activities of financial regulations, banking supervision serve as an equilibrium position where law and economic meet. The problem of business failure is particularly interesting from the perspective of the banks. This is because financial crisis has had significant and dramatic consequences for the world economy as it results in economic downturn. The study therefore seeks to know the level of efficiency in the use of asset by Nigerian money deposit banks, their liquidity stance which measures their ability to meet evolving current obligations as they fall due and also determine the adequacy of their retained earnings. The choice of listed money deposit banks in Nigeria as case study for the research is based on the diversified interest involved and how the various interests can make informed decisions and judgement from the financial information reported. Diversified interest include the investors, management, regulatory (i.e. CBN, NDIC, NSE, SEC), trade payables and depositors etc.
1.1.1HISTORICAL DEVELOPMENT OF BANKING SYSTEM IN NIGERIA
The Nigerian banking industry is regulated by the Central Bank of Nigeria. It is made up of deposit money banks, development finance institutions, micro-finance banks, finance
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companies, bureau de changes, discount houses and primary mortgage institutions. The historical development of banking system in Nigeria can be dated back to the era of colonisation which started operation and became effective between 1892 to 1894.The African Banking Corporation and First Bank of Nigeria which was formerly known as the Bank of British West Africa (BBWA) was the standard and first bank alongside with other colonial banks that influenced our commercial operation, financial activities and also foreign exchange. There was a merger in 1952 which facilitated Nigeria Barclays Banks into commercial operation as well as the British and French Bank for commerce and industry. The French bank was later known as the United Bank of Africa in 1925.All the banks listed above were all governed and controlled by colonial masters but were not aimed at meeting the need of Africans. As a result of this, Nnamidi Azikiwe in 1929 established the ACB (African Continental Bank) which was the first indigenous bank but was not the first bank in Nigeria. The bank was known for industrial and commercial purpose but it went into liquidation 15 months later in 1930 due to embezzlement, mismanagement and accounting incompetence coupled with economic repression prevalent in that period. In 1947, the ACB was established and known as Pan Africanism. More banks were subsequently created which were; Agbonmagbe bank in1945, the merchant bank in 1952, a separate trading company was prominent during this period which was offering trade credit to customers. Other non- bank financial intermediaries were; post office saving banks, Lagos Building Society( known as Federal Mortgage Bank of Nigeria), Federal and Regional Loan Institutions. However, banking legislation never existed until 1952.
In 1952, the submitted result of enquiry made by Mr. G D Paton led to the enactment of Bank Ordinance Act of 1952 which brought about setting of standards, required reserve fund, established bank examinations and provided assistance to indigenous banks. As at then there were three (3) foreign banks namely; the Bank of British West Africa, Barclays Bank and the
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British and French bank and two (2) indigenous banks – National Bank of Nigeria and The Africa Continental Bank. The ordinance was preventing undercapitalised banks from operating but was unable to check the malpractice of banks and inability to develop the banking system. It could also not provide a reserve force and lender of last resort which is referred to as a place where banks fall to during liquidity crisis for indigenous banks.
The motion for the establishment of Central Bank of Nigeria was presented March, 1958 and was fully implemented on1stJuly 1959. The CBN was charged with the functions of promotion and development of the financial market, bankers’ bank, currency issue and distribution, promotion of special schemes and funds for industrial development, supervision of finance houses etc. therefore we can say that from 1892 to 1952 was referred to as a free banking era because of the absence of banking regulation as regarding setting up of bank. In 1988, the government established Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC) with the responsibility of carrying out some sort of financial reforms and assisting the Central Bank of Nigeria in formulation of policies. It was charged with the responsibility of ensuring safe and sound banking services and insuring bank deposits through effective supervision. It was the basis of its assistant supervisory role with the Central Bank that the NDIC Act was useful. The Banks and Other Financial Institutions Act (BOFIA) No 25 of 1991 vests the CBN with the sole authority of licensing banks, determining their maximum capital requirements and sanctioning of any bank which failed to comply with the provisions of the Act. The Nigerian Banking industry has undergone various reforms including the consolidation which has brought great transformation to the banking operations in Nigeria. This consequently led to licensing twenty five (25) commercial banks. Further reforms introduced by Sanusi led administration has resulted in only eighteen (18) commercial banks and three (3) bridged banks.
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1.2 STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM
Business decision is arguable an integral part of any viable organisation. Business decisions are taken in order to develop investment, financial and dividend policy. The use of financial ratio has been proven to aid companies in making informed judgement due to the comparative nature of ratios towards achieving its profit maximisation objectives. Decisions are constantly made by both internal and external users of financial information. Nigeria money deposit banks listed on the floor of Nigerian Stock Exchange are considered as case study due to the diversified interests making use of the financial information published by bank. Banks prepare and publish their financial statement but most users cannot interpret the financial information contained in it. This is because proper interpretation of published financial data require analytical tool such as financial ratio. How effective and efficient is the use of financial ratios for decision making by stakeholders of these banks? How do users of financial information in different environment use the financial ratio for comparison in business decisions?
Also, given the historical basis for the preparation and presentation of financial statement, it is generally argued whether the financial data can provide a basis for prediction in making business decision. This research seek to address specifically how depositors and top management among other stakeholders can make effective decision using financial ratio as tool.
1.2 OBJECTIVES OF STUDY
The broad objective of the study is to examine the role of financial ratio analysis in business decision with specific focus on listed commercial banks as case study. The specific objectives are to:
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i. Ascertain the comparability of financial ratio for business decisions in Nigerian banks
ii. Evaluate the level of understanding of applicability of ratio analysis to banks financial statements for decision making
iii. Determine the usefulness of financial ratio in measuring and predicting of the financial position for business decisions in Nigerian money deposit banks
iv. Access how financial ratio could aid business decision
1.4 RESEARCH QUESTIONS
Every research is being carried out with inquisitive minds which have consequently provoked the following research questions as they relate to this study:
i. To what extent can financial ratio analysis be used for business decisions?
ii. To what extent can the financial ratio measure and predict the financial position for business decisions?
iii. To what extent can ratio analysis help in understanding and interpreting published financial statements of Nigerian banks?
iv. To what extent does financial ratio aid business decision in Nigerian banks?
1.5 RESEARCH HYPOTHESES
The Null hypothesis (H0) which signify no relationship in line with the study objectives and alternate (H1) hypothesis which contradicts the null are formulated for this study as stated below:
i. Hypothesis One
H0: there is no significant relationship between comparability of financial ratios and business decisions
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H1: there is significant relationship between comparability of financial ratios and business decision
ii. Hypothesis Two
H0: financial ratio as a measure and predictor of financial position has no significant relationship with business decisions
H1: financial ratio as a measure and predictor of financial position has significant relationship with business decisions
iii. Hypothesis Three
H0: financial ratios are not significant in aiding business decisions
H1: financial ratios are significant in aiding business decision
iv. Hypothesis Four
H0: analysing financial ratio does not have significant relationship with understanding the financial statement
H1: analysing financial ratio has significant relationship with understanding the financial statement
1.6 SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY
Decision making is an integral part of business organisations. Effective decision making is the responsibility of management. This study will be of immense benefit to listed Nigerian banks regarding the usefulness of financial information in decision making. The study will prove useful to depositors and management of money deposit banks regarding the importance of financial ratios in business decision. The research works will also contribute to existing
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body of knowledge relating to the research work while equally providing a basis for future research into the subject matter.
1.7 SCOPE AND LIMITATIONS OF THE STUDY
The study covers only the Nigerian money deposit banks, listed on the floor of Nigerian stock exchange. The financial statements of the listed banks are used with special focus on the Statement of Financial Position and Statement of Profit or Loss and other Comprehensive Income. The study critically examines and also gives an insight on how bank management as well as depositors uses its financial ratios for effective business decision. Time series data was employed. The data covered a period of 10 years spanning from 2004-2013.Only profitability and liquidity ratios are employed in the study. The ratios are considered because they are most relevant for management and depositors’ decision. However time is a major constraint for the research study.
1.8 ORGANISATION OF THE STUDY
Organisation of the study shows the orderly arrangement of the research work. The study is divided into five (5) chapters as follows:
Chapter One comprises the background information, statement of the problem, objectives of the study, research questions, research hypothesis, significance of the study, scope and limitations, organisation of the study, and definition of the terms.
Chapter Two presents the review of related literature. It provides fundamental information about financial ratios. Conceptual clarification and theoretical framework are also addressed.
Chapter Three outlines the methodology used in the research, the research design adopted, study population, sample size, nature and source of data, research instrument and also validation and reliability of research instrument and data analysis technique.
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Chapter Four focuses on presentation and analysing of data, summary of data analysis, test of hypotheses.
Chapter Five discusses summary of major findings, conclusions and recommendations.
1.9 DEFINITION OF TERMS
i. Ratio: A ratio is one figure express in terms of another figure. It is a mathematical yardstick that measures the relationship between two figures, which are related to each other and mutually interdependent.
ii. Ratio analysis: Is an attempt to derive quantitative measure regarding the financial health and profitability of business enterprises. It helps in analysing and interpreting the financial statements of an enterprise by identifying financial variables with a view to establishing the relationship between those variables.
iii. Management: These are experts employed by the shareholders to run the affairs of the reporting entity.
iv. Financial analysts: These are financial advisers, brokers, researcher etc., who may be interested in the affairs of a reporting entity to enable them educate the general public and keep reliable records for future reference.
v. Government: This is the provider of enabling environment for effective and efficient operation of the reporting entity.
vi. Stakeholders: The stakeholders are a group of people who have economic interest in the activities of a reporting entity.
vii. Shareholders: These are the investors who have parted money or may part money in future with expectation that the investment is viable and that there will be reasonable return.
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viii. Financial statements: Financial statements are the accounting reports in respect of economic activities of an enterprise, prepared periodically and usually at the end of every financial year. It is a means through which directors communicate to the shareholder at the Annual General Meetings.
ix. Statement of financial position: This is a statement of liabilities, assets and capital of a business as at a stated date. International Accounting Standard (IAS1) requires assets and liabilities to be disclosed separately on the face of the statement of financial position.
x. Statement of profit or loss and other comprehensive income: This is a statement that shows all the revenues, possible operating expensive and other comprehensive income that might have occurred in the course of the business for the year end of the reporting entity. IAS1 require that it could be presented in as a single statement or two statements.
xi. Statement of cash flow: This is a statement of cash receipt and payments of an enterprise over a given period, analysed into various activities of the enterprise in order to measure more accurately the liquidity position of the enterprise.
xii. Notes to the financial statements: Notes are additional information used to amplify the information given in the statement of financial position, statement of profit or loss and other comprehensive income and change to equity.
xiii. Statement of changes in equity: this statement is used to analyse change or movement in the equity section of the statement of financial position.
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xiv. Financial reporting: Financial reporting is a process of providing information about the strengths and weakness of a reporting entity in the area of profitability, growth, liquidity, activity and financial stability and communicating the information to a wide range of stakeholder to enable them assess the stewardship of the entity’s management and make sound economic decision.
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